NFL Wins – Over/Under

Last week, Bodog released it’s initial over/under lines.

Here are my five best bets:

Denver Over 7.5: The Broncos start with the Ohio sisters (Bengals and Browns); plus, they get four games against the Raiders and Chiefs. That's six games right there.

Miami Over 7: The Dolphins won 11 games last year. Vegas is expecting them to get four games worse? Why? Also, how can the Browns and Dolphins possibly have the same expected win totals? Makes no sense.

Jets Over 7: Sure, they will probably have a rookie starting under center, but has Vegas seen what Bo Ryan has done to this defense?

Chiefs Under 6: What has this team done to improve itself? Is Matt Cassel worth four wins by himself? I’m not buying.

Vikings Under 9: The team still has no quarterback of note, and I would double down if they sign Brett Favre.

NFL Rumor of the Day

Full disclosure: I am guilty of starting this rumor.

The Denver Broncos will / should trade their two first round picks (numbers 12 and 18) to the Seattle Seahawks in exchange for the 4th overall pick. I know it's not a perfect match on the NFL Draft Value Chart, but it's a perfect match of needs.

Why Denver will / should do this: The Broncos would virtually guarantee themselves one of the top two quarterbacks in the draft, either Matthew Stafford or Mark Sanchez. In essence, they would have traded their own first and fifth round picks and Jay Cutler for either Stafford or Sanchez, Kyle Orton, a third rounder, and a first round pick next year. Seems pretty fair especially since Cutler and new head coach Josh McDaniels did not see eye-to-eye anyway.

Why Seattle will / should do this: Seattle has many pressing needs. Trading down would allow them to take two impact players. In a perfect scenario for them, they would take a safety (possibly Malcolm Jenkins) with the 12th pick and a quarterback of the future (possibly Josh Freeman) with the 18th pick. Strategically, in order to get Freeman, teams will have to trade ahead of the Tampa Bay Bucs who happen to pick 19th.