NFL Wins – Over/Under

Last week, Bodog released it’s initial over/under lines.

Here are my five best bets:

Denver Over 7.5: The Broncos start with the Ohio sisters (Bengals and Browns); plus, they get four games against the Raiders and Chiefs. That's six games right there.

Miami Over 7: The Dolphins won 11 games last year. Vegas is expecting them to get four games worse? Why? Also, how can the Browns and Dolphins possibly have the same expected win totals? Makes no sense.

Jets Over 7: Sure, they will probably have a rookie starting under center, but has Vegas seen what Bo Ryan has done to this defense?

Chiefs Under 6: What has this team done to improve itself? Is Matt Cassel worth four wins by himself? I’m not buying.

Vikings Under 9: The team still has no quarterback of note, and I would double down if they sign Brett Favre.

Day 2 - Recap

Winners

Chicago: Without a day one pick, the Bears did very well to fill a number of need areas on Day Two.

Jacksonville: The Jags picked three receivers and a running back that have the potential to contribute in 2009.

Detroit: The Lions got Matthew Stafford some weapons and some protection. What else can you ask for?

New York Giants: The Giants addressed some key needs, wide receiver, tight end, and running back. Well done.

Cincinnati: It's possible, even likely that the Bengals picked up three players that will start for them on Opening Day - Michael Johnson, Chase Coffman and Jonathan Luigs.


Losers

Dallas: The Cowboys failed to draft any player that will start for them at a skill position. I guess they did a good job drafting depth, but they needed more after a disappointing 2008 campaign.

Miami: They reached for a couple wide receivers and drafted a guy from Monmouth. Nothing good ever comes from Monmouth.

New England: I should trust Bill Belichick's player evaluation skills, but I think the Patriots struggled all weekend. Who is the defining player of the draft for them?


Best Picks

Jarron Gilbert, DT, San Jose State (68th overall by Chicago): Freak athlete. See here.

Trevor Canfield, OG, Cincinnati (254th by Arizona): Love the value in the seventh round.

Juaquin Iglesias, WR, Oklahoma (99th by Chicago): Sam Bradford's favorite target should fit in nicely in Chicago.

Courtney Greene, S, Rutgers (245th by Seattle): This was a need area for the Seahawks, and Greene has second round ability. He fell to the seventh round because of consistency issues.

Sammie Stroughter, WR, Oregon State (233rd by Tampa Bay): Stroughter has a chance to come in and contribute from day one. He lacks blazing speed but consistently makes plays.


Other Draft Notes

--USC had 11 players selected, 50% more than the next closest team.

--38 cornerbacks were selected. The next closest position (defensive ends) had 22 players selected. Still have your doubts that this is a passing league? Didn't think so?

--The U(niversity of Miami) only had one player selected all day (Spence Adkins, 6th Round). Among others, here's a list of schools that saw at least one of their players go before Adkins: Temple, William & Mary, Western Illinois, Nicholls State, Cal Poly, Western Ontario, Stillman, St. Paul's, Monmouth, and Abilene Christian. Things can only get better in south Florida.

--Grades by team coming tomorrow.