Saturday, April 22, 2017

[LIVE] Two Round NFL Mock Draft (And Then Some)

It's been five years since I put together a two-round mock draft. That's too long. For that, I apologize. To try to make it up to you, I'm going to try something new. I will have a "live" version of the mock draft here, and I'll continue to update as we get closer to the draft. [Updates will be made in red until 6pm on Draft Day.] I'll add all of the Jets picks too just for good measure. For what it's worth - although I will not make up trades in this mock - I think the Jets will work out a deal with either the Browns or .... the Redskins if Mitch Trubisky is still on the board. The Redskins would then deal Kirk Cousins to the 49ers (maybe for pick 34 this year and another second rounder next year?).

The best night of the sports year is almost upon us. And it will be even better without Chris Berman! Enjoy.

Round 1
1. Cleveland Browns: Myles Garrett, DL, Texas A&M - The Browns have no choice here. They need to take Garrett, the player on top of every team's draft board. He has the highest upside of any prospect this year, and Cleveland desperately needs that. I don't love his lack of production against top competition, but that's nitpicky.
2. San Francisco 49ers: Mitchell Trubisky, QB, North Carolina - I think Mitchell goes #2. I'm just not sure who will take him. As mentioned above, I can see scenarios where the Browns and Redskins trade up for him, but ultimately I think Kyle Shanahan will build around Trubisky.
3. Chicago Bears: Solomon Thomas, DL, Stanford
4. Jacksonville Jaguars: Jonathan Allen, DL, Alabama
5. Tennessee Titans: Corey Davis, WR, Western Michigan
6. New York Jets: Jamal Adams, S, LSU
7. Los Angeles Chargers: Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State
8. Carolina Panthers: Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford - I flip-flopped McCaffrey and Leonard Fournette about a dozen times before finally settling on the Stanford product. I’m not sure the Panthers are ready to give up on Jonathan Stewart just yet, and McCaffrey can complement that style better than Leonard can. The two can even be on the field at the same time if you split McCaffrey out wide.
9. Cincinnati Bengals: Haason Reddick, LB, Temple

Reddick might be the biggest beneficiary of Reuben Foster's recent issues.
10. Buffalo Bills: Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee
11. New Orleans Saints: Reuben Foster, ILB, Alabama
12. Cleveland Browns: Marshon Lattimore, CB, Ohio State - The Browns are going to be bad again in 2017. The QB class of 2018 figures to be much stronger than this year's crop. I think Cleveland revamps the defense this year and finds their quarterback at the top of next year's draft. Time to feed Brock Osweiler to the wolves.
13. Arizona Cardinals: O.J. Howard, TE, Alabama
14. Philadelphia Eagles: Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU
15. Indianapolis Colts: Forrest Lamp, OL, Western Kentucky
16. Baltimore Ravens: Gareon Conley, CB, Ohio State
17. Washington Redskins: Takkarist McKinley, OLB, UCLA
18. Tennessee Titans: Kevin King, CB, Washington
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Mike Williams, WR, Clemson
20. Denver Broncos: Cam Robinson, OT, Alabama
21. Detroit Lions: Dalvin Cook, RB, Florida State
22. Miami Dolphins: Jarrad Davis, LB, Florida
23. New York Giants: David Njoku, TE, Miami
24. Oakland Raiders: Malik McDowell, DT, Michigan State
25. Houston Texans: Pat Mahomes, QB, Texas Tech
26. Seattle Seahawks: Ryan Ramczyk, OT, Wisconsin
27. Kansas City Chiefs: Deshaun Watson, QB, Clemson
28. Dallas Cowboys: Marlon Humphrey, CB, Alabama
29. Green Bay Packers: Charles Harris, DE, Missouri
30. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jabrill Peppers, Athlete, Michigan
31. Atlanta Falcons: Tyus Bowser, LB, Houston -
32. New Orleans Saints: Tre'Davious White, CB, LSU - Local, talented product at a position of need.

Round 2 (Overall Pick)
1 (33). Cleveland Browns: Budda Baker, S, Washington
2 (34). San Francisco 49ers: Obi Melifonwu, S, Connecticut
3 (35). Jacksonville Jaguars: Antonio Garcia, OL, Troy
4 (36). Chicago Bears: Joshua Dobbs, QB, Tennessee - Rocket scientist.
5 (37). Los Angeles Rams: John Ross, WR, Washington - The two players that could make this mock look terrible are Ross and Jordan Willis. Ross is reportedly in play a high as #5, but if a couple of these teams end up passing on him, a drop into the top of Round 2 is a possibility. I’ll call this my boldest prediction.
6 (38). Los Angeles Chargers: DeShone Kizer, QB, Notre Dame - Rocket scientist he is not. What was he thinking with this quote? The greatest ever? Last year he was behind Malik Zaire on the depth chart.
7 (39). New York Jets: Evan Engram, TE, Ole Miss - It's been five years since a Jets tight end put up more than 400 yards receiving in a season. I'm not sure in Engram would top that mark in 2017, but with an actual QB he would in 2018.

Engram would give the Jets a weapon out wide.
8 (40). Carolina Panthers: Garett Bolles, OT, Utah - In my first mock, I had Bolles to Carolina as well…but that was in Round 1. There’s a chance he slips here and Carolina would be thrilled if he did.
9 (41). Cincinnati Bengals: Adoree' Jackson, CB, USC - Pacman 2.0 without the off-field baggage.
10 (42). New Orleans Saints: Taco Charlton, DE, Michigan
11 (43). Philadelphia Eagles: Quincy Wilson, CB, Florida
12 (44). Buffalo Bills: Zay Jones, WR, East Carolina
13 (45). Arizona Cardinals: Josh Jones, S, NC State
14 (46). Indianapolis Colts: Dan Feeney, OG, Indiana
15 (47). Baltimore Ravens: Jordan Willis, DE, Kansas State - Moves up as Brantley plummets.
16 (48). Minnesota Vikings: Dion Dawkins, OL, Temple
17 (49). Washington Redskins: Zach Cunningham, ILB, Vanderbilt
18 (50). Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Samaje Perine, RB, Oklahoma
19 (51). Denver Broncos: Gerald Everett, TE, South Alabama
20 (52). Cleveland Browns: Sidney Jones, CB, Washington - There’s a good chance that 2017 becomes a redshirt year, but the Browns won’t be competitive anyway and this would be a smart gamble with the extra pick Cleveland owns in this draft.
21 (53). Detroit Lions: T.J. Watt, OLB, Wisconsin
22 (54). Miami Dolphins: Marcus Maye, S, Florida
23 (55). New York Giants: Tim Williams, OLB, Alabama
24 (56). Oakland Raiders: Chris Wormley, DT, Michigan - Welcome to the top two rounds.
25 (57). Houston Texans: Aviante Collins, OT, TCU
26 (58). Seattle Seahawks: Desmond King, CB, Iowa
27 (59). Kansas City Chiefs: Joe Mixon, RB, Oklahoma - They already have Tyreek Hill so why not?
28 (60). Dallas Cowboys: DeMarcus Walker, DE, Florida State
29 (61). Green Bay Packers: Alvin Kamara, RB, Tennessee
30 (62). Pittsburgh Steelers: Adam Shaheen, TE, Ashland
31 (63). Atlanta Falcons: Chidobe Awuzie, CB, Colorado
32 (64). Carolina Panthers: Curtis Samuel, WR, Ohio State - Who better to pair with Christian McCaffrey than the poor man’s Christian McCaffrey? Samuel can also line up out wide or in the backfield with or without Jonathan Stewart and gives Cam Newton more weapons at his disposal.

Dropped Out
Caleb Brantley, DT Idiot, Florida

Remainder of Jets Draft
Round 3 (Overall Pick)
6 (70). New York Jets: Carlos Henderson, WR, Louisiana Tech
43 (107). New York Jets: Derek Rivers, OLB, Youngstown State

Round 5 (Overall Pick)
6 (150). New York Jets: Wayne Gallman, RB, Clemson

Round 6 (Overall Pick)
7 (191). New York Jets: Amba Etta-Tawo, WR, Syracuse

Round 7 (Overall Pick)
6 (224). New York Jets: Kyle Kalis, OL, Michigan

Other Thoughts
-I still like the idea of the Bills using their fourth rounder on Ole Miss QB Chad Kelly, nephew of Buffalo legend Jim Kelly.

-Crazy draft idea: The Browns should go all in on a 2017 tank job and focus exclusively on the 2018 seasons and beyond. Take Garrett at 1 and take the best available players at 12 and 33. Then trade 52 and 108 for a 2018 first rounder. Trade 65 and Joe Thomas (to Seattle or the NYG?) for a 2018 first rounder. Trade Kevin Zeitler for a 2018 second rounder. I know the Browns just signed Zeitler this offseason, but this would essentially allow the team to buy a second rounder (for the price of Zeitler’s signing bonus). This series of deals would give Cleveland three 2018 first rounders and four 2018 second rounders along with Garrett in addition to boatloads of cap room.

Thursday, March 2, 2017

2017 NFL Mock Draft: Round 1

It's been way too long since I last posted, and few things in the sports world get me more excited than the NFL Draft. I like getting my first mock out before the Combine to set a marker in the water.

1. Cleveland: DE Myles Garrett, Texas A&M - Not even the Browns can screw this one up. Although by drafting him, they'll probably screw him up somehow.

2. San Francisco: DT Jonathan Allen, Alabama - I'm not a believer in this year's QB class, but then again, I wasn't a believer last year and QBs went first and second overall. Plug Allen in for the next decade and call it a day.

3. Chicago: S Jamal Adams, LSU - Safety is becoming sexy again.

4. Jacksonville: RB Leonard Fournette, LSU - I was on Zeke last year as a surprise top 10 pick before almost anyone else. Fournette is this year's Zeke so I'm expecting him off the board at the same #4 selection.

5. Tennessee (via LA): DE Solomon Thomas, Stanford - Haven't seen anyone else with Thomas this high, but every time I watched him, he dominated. Also making a blind faith assumption that he'll interview well and impress teams with his Stanford intelligence.

6. New York Jets: CB Marshon Lattimore, Ohio State - The Jets could go in so many different directions here, but fresh off the Revis release, I'll give them Lattimore.

Newest graduate from THE Cornerback University

7. San Diego Los Angeles Chargers: S Malik Hooker, Ohio State - Like I said, safeties are hot right now. An Eric Weddle replacement.

8. Carolina: OT Garrett Bolles, Utah - This is a weak year for top-tier offensive linemen but the Panthers need to protect Cam. 14 years ago, Carolina took OT Jordan Gross from Utah with the 8th overall selection and that worked out pretty well (Gross still works as a sideline reporter for the team). Repeat performance here?

9. Cincinnati: DE Derek Barnett, Tennessee - Pure speculation here, but I'm guessing the Bengals spend less on college scouting than any other team in football. They are probably too cheap to even drop the $79.99 to purchase ESPN Goal Line. They watch CBS, Fox, ABC, and ESPN. Don't even think they can afford ESPN2. If you don't play on those channels, you are out of luck in Cincy. Then they take the best players from those teams. Really simple strategy. Hey did you see Barnett dominating the SEC? Sure did. Let's take him.

10. Buffalo: CB Teez Tabor, Florida

11. New Orleans: DE Taco Charlton, Michigan

12. Cleveland (via Philadelphia): QB Mitch Trubisky, North Carolina - Seems like a dream scenario for Cleveland. After landing the best player at #1, they would have their pick of QBs to ruin.

13. Arizona: WR Corey Davis, Western Michigan - Tough to think of a better situation for a young WR than to learn from Larry Fitz. Just ask Michael Floyd. Too soon?

14. Indianapolis: OT Cam Robinson, Alabama

15. Philadelphia (via Minnesota): CB Marlon Humphrey, Alabama

16. Baltimore: ATH Jabrill Peppers, Michigan - Harbaugh connection.

17. Washington: LB Reuben Foster, Alabama - Anyone else sick of Bama or is just me? Love that Clemson dominated them in the national title game. I digress.

18. Tennessee: WR Mike Williams, Clemson - Similar to the Browns' dream scenario, I think the Titans brass would do back flips if they could snag Williams here. I'm guessing he's in consideration for them at #5.

19. Tampa Bay: RB Dalvin Cook, Florida State - I'm struggling to find a great spot for Cook so let's keep him in state.

20. Denver: OT Ryan Ramczyk, Wisconsin - I have a soft spot for any former D-III athletes. Make us proud, kid.

21. Detroit: DT Malik McDowell, Michigan State - Michigan connection? Why not.

22. Miami: WR John Ross, Washington - Out goes Kenny Stills; in comes his faster, (much) cheaper replacement.

23. New York Giants: TE OJ Howard, Alabama - It has now been a full decade since Jeremy Shockey left New York. (Wow, that makes me feel old.) That was the last time Eli had a legitimate threat at the tight end position.

24. Oakland: DT Caleb Brantley, Florida - The Gators might have four first round picks from their defense (and possibly up to seven defenders drafted in total). How did they give up any points this year?

25. Houston: CB Sidney Jones, Washington

26. Seattle: OG Forrest Lamp, Western Kentucky - I love Lamp. Not really, but Russell Wilson will take any protection he can get.

27. Kansas City: QB Deshaun Watson, Clemson - A sneaky landing spot for the man Dabo dubbed "Michael Jordan."

28. Dallas: OLB Tak Mckinley, UCLA - I love watching this guy's tape. Freak athlete with sprinter speed who runs all over the field to make plays.

29. Green Bay: CB Adoree Jackson, USC

30. Pittsburgh: WR Zay Jones, East Carolina - Fantasy Sleep-ah alert.

31. Atlanta: TE David Njoku, Miami - If you thought the Falcon offense was good last year, wait until they add a threat at another position.

32. New England: QB Pat Mahomes, Texas Tech - Just a hunch but I think Jimmy G will get traded this offseason for a couple second round picks allowing Mahomes to become the heir to the Brady throne. (Speaking of feeling old, I remember when Mahomes' dad was on the Mets. Jesus.)

More thoughts:

-The Jets will end up with another second round QB. Wouldn't mind if that pick was DeShone Kizer.

-How about Ole Miss QB Chad Kelly to the Bills in Round 3? Uncle Jim can watch after him in Buffalo and keep him on the right track.