Picks: Week of 12/13-12/16

There are two NFL games I love this weekend, and I will be adding to my position as we get closer to the game.

The Falcons are not nearly as dominant as their record suggests. BUT. For some reason, they are being written off. This is still a good team, especially at home. The Giants always make things interesting, and I think they lay an egg here only to come back with a vengeance in weeks 16 and 17 to take the division. This week, though, gimme the Birds. If this spread drops to 1, it will likely be my biggest play of the year.

I'm also shocked the Cowboys are home 'dogs to a Pittsburgh team that got embarrassed at home against underwhelming San Diego. Hoping this line goes up to 2 even though I think Dallas wins outright.

Also had an opportunity to try my first reverse teaser. 200:1 odds are just too good to pass up.


College Football

Ball State +8 (vs Central Florida): 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
San Diego State (vs BYU): 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
Rutgers +2 (vs Virginia Tech): 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
Texas +2 (vs Oregon State): 5.6 units to win 5.0 units
Notre Dame +10 (vs Alabama): 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
Teaser- USC Pk (vs Georgia Tech) / Oklahoma State -6.5 (vs Purdue) / Notre Dame +20 (vs Alabama): 3.0 units to win 2.5 units
Teaser- USC Pk (vs Georgia Tech) / Florida -4 (vs Louisville) / Alabama Pk (vs Notre Dame): 3.0 units to win 2.5 units
Parlay- Ball State Pk (vs Central Florida) / UCLA -1 (vs Baylor) / Alabama Pk (vs Notre Dame): 2.5 units to win 19.6 units

NFL

Eagles +4.5 (vs Bengals): 2.8 units to win 2.5 units L - 2.8 units
Falcons -1.5 (vs Giants): 2.8 units to win 2.5 units W - 2.5 units
Falcons -1 (vs Giants): 6.6 units to win 6.0 units W - 6.0 units
Falcons Pk (vs Giants): 2.8 units to win 2.5 units W - 2.5 units
Packers -2.5 (at Bears): 2.9 units to win 2.5 units W - 2.5 units
Redskins +3.5 (at Browns): 2.8 units to win 2.5 units W - 2.5 units
Cowboys +1.5 (vs Steelers): 2.8 units to win 2.5 units W - 2.5 units
Patriots -5.5 (vs 49ers): 2.3 units to win 2.5 units L - 2.3 units
Reverse Teaser- Falcons -9.5 / Ravens -4.5 / Bucs -3.5 / Cowboys -4.5 / Patriots -12.5: 2.0 units to win 400.0 units L - 2.0 units

Steelers under 9.5 wins: 2.5 units to win 2.9 units W - 2.9 units
Eli throws more TDs than Peyton: 4.1 units to win 2.5 units L - 4.1 units
Saints to win the NFC: 2.5 units to win 50.0 units L - 2.5 units

EPL

Norwich City -0.5: 2.5 units to win 2.7 units W - 2.7 units
Parlay- Man U -0.5 / Man City -0.5: 3.0 units to win 2.6 units W - 2.6 units

Season Record (beginning 9/1/12)

CFB: 37-27 (+19.9 units)
NFL: 35-32 (+51.2 units)
EPL: 7-7 (-2.1 units)

Pending:

Packers to win NFC: 2.5 units to win 7.5 units
Cowboys to win NFC: 2.5 units to win 43.8 units