NFL Picks: Week 8

One yard in the Chiefs game was the difference between a winning week and the losing week. Those are the breaks though. Slow week for me here.


Dallas/Detroit Over 51: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units

Teaser- 49ers Pk (WIN) / Packers Pk (WIN) / OPEN: 6.0 units to win 5.0 units
Teaser- Packers Pk (WIN) / Seahawks Pk / OPEN: 6.0 units to win 5.0 units

Overall Record: 14-21 (-12.0 units)

Pending Futures

Lions to win the NFC North: 5.5 units to win 27.5 units

Cardinals over 5.5 wins: 3.1 units to win 2.5 units

Broncos under 11.5 wins: 2.9 units to win 2.5 units

Patriots over 11 wins: 2.5 units to win 3.6 units

Eagles over 7.5 wins: 2.6 units to win 2.5 units

Redskins over 8.5 wins: 2.5 units to win 3.0 units

Trent Richardson +3.5 Rush TDs over Arian Foster: 2.9 units to win 2.5 units

EJ Manuel to win Offensive RoY: 5.0 units to win 87.5 units

College Football Picks: Week 9

I'm liking the way my picks of the week have performed, but my upset specials have been very lackluster. Another light week ahead.

NC State +32.5: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units

Upset of the Week- Utah +6.5: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
Pick of the Week- Vanderbilt +17.5: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units

Overall Record: 25-16-1 (+37.1 units)

Upset: 2-5

PoW: 5-1-1

PoY: 1-0

NFL Picks: Week 7

Only went 2-4 last week, but hit my two biggest plays to salvage a -1.1 unit week. I also lost a 3-team teaser because I tied one of the three games. A loss is a loss, I know, but that turned a winning week into a losing one.

Jaguars +7.5: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
Packers -9.5: 2.9 units to win 2.5 units
Chiefs -6.5: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
Bucs +7: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
Broncos/Colts Over 55.5: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
Teaser- 49ers Pk (WIN) / Packers Pk / OPEN: 6.0 units to win 5.0 units
Teaser- Packers Pk / OPEN / OPEN: 6.0 units to win 5.0 units


Last week I loved the Niners at home to win outright (10 point favorites) but not necessarily to cover. This week, I love the Packers in the same exact situation at home against the Browns which is why I will have them as part of at least two - but more likely three or four by kickoff - separate 6.0 unit teasers. Note: I also like them to cover 10 too.

Overall Record: 12-18 (-8.6 units)

Pending Futures

Lions to win the NFC North: 5.5 units to win 27.5 units

Cardinals over 5.5 wins: 3.1 units to win 2.5 units

Broncos under 11.5 wins: 2.9 units to win 2.5 units

Patriots over 11 wins: 2.5 units to win 3.6 units

Eagles over 7.5 wins: 2.6 units to win 2.5 units

Redskins over 8.5 wins: 2.5 units to win 3.0 units

Trent Richardson +3.5 Rush TDs over Arian Foster: 2.9 units to win 2.5 units

EJ Manuel to win Offensive RoY: 5.0 units to win 87.5 units

College Football Picks: Week 8

Back to back brutal Saturday night primetime games. Two weeks ago it was the Ohio State defensive-touchdown-as-time-expired fiasco. This week it was Texas A&M and Ole Miss combining to score 41 points in the fourth quarter alone (after scoring a total of 38 through the first 45 minutes) causing me to push my Under 79 bet.

The rest of the slate was uneventful, really. Minor up week pushed me to +40 for the season.

 

PURE EMOTIONAL WAGER ALERT: 

   USC +3: 2.6 units to win 2.5 units

Upset of the Week- Clemson +3: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units - Wow! Talk about a slap in the face, Dabo. 3-point 'dogs at home? No respect. The Tigers better be motivated.

Pick of the Week- North Carolina +8.5: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units - When was the last time we had an eventful Thursday night game? I'm talking must watch tv. Was Warrick Dunn still at Florida State? Sure seems like it. Maybe the Tar Heels can kick start some excitement on TNCFB.

Overall Record: 24-14-1 (+40.0 units)

Upset: 2-3

PoW: 4-1-1

PoY: 1-0

College Football Picks: Week 7

Thank God I only put a minimum wager on the Northwestern game or my TV would undoubtedly be broken right now. That BS last second defensive touchdown Ohio State scored to cover was the worst way I've ever lost a bet. Just brutal. That also turned a positive week into a negative one so I'm allowed to complain.

My Georgia State/Alabama wagers split but given the opportunity, I would make those bets 100 times out of 100. 

Back to work in a slow slate of games.

Texas A&M / Ole Miss Under 79: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
Teaser- Oklahoma -1.5 / LSU +2.5 / Michigan +7.5: 3.0 units to win 2.5 units

Late Addition:
  Teaser- LSU +1.5 / Michigan +8.5 / 49ers Pk: 6.0 units to win 5.0 units

Upset of the Week- Arkansas 1H +3: 2.9 units to win 2.5 units

Pick of the Week- Rutgers +19

Overall Record: 22-12 (+38.4 units)

Upset: 2-2

PoW: 3-1-1

PoY: 1-0

NFL Picks: Week 6

I was 2-2 heading into the 4pm games with only a wager on the Panthers remaining. I'm not sure why I ever have faith in Cam Newton on the road. That loss serves me right.

Eagles -1: 5.5 units to win 5.0 units

Late Additions:
 Vikings -2: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
 Jets -1: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
 Teaser- Jets +9 / Seahawks -3.5 / Broncos -16.5: 3.0 units to win 2.5 units
 Teaser- 49ers Pk / Patriots +7.5 / Redskins +15: 3.0 units to win 2.5 units
 Teaser- 49ers Pk / OPEN / OPEN: 6.0 units to win 5.0 units
 Patriots 5.8 units to win 5.5 units

Overall Record: 10-14 (-7.5 units)

Pending Futures

Lions to win the NFC North: 5.5 units to win 27.5 units

Cardinals over 5.5 wins: 3.1 units to win 2.5 units

Broncos under 11.5 wins: 2.9 units to win 2.5 units

Patriots over 11 wins: 2.5 units to win 3.6 units

Eagles over 7.5 wins: 2.6 units to win 2.5 units

Redskins over 8.5 wins: 2.5 units to win 3.0 units

Trent Richardson +3.5 Rush TDs over Arian Foster: 2.9 units to win 2.5 units

EJ Manuel to win Offensive RoY: 5.0 units to win 87.5 units

College Football Picks: Week 6

Went 4-2 last week including the gimme-of-the-week (Houston). As soon as the game got underway, I was kicking myself for only risking 4.4 units. No complaining after winning weeks though. Mostly going heavy on one play below along with some teasers.

Northwestern +7: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units
Teaser- Oklahoma Pk / Georgia Pk / Nevada +15.5: 3.0 units to win 2.5 units
Teaser- Maryland +25.5 / Marshall -4 / NO Saints +10: 3.0 units to win 2.5 units

Upset of the Week- BYU +7: 3.3 units to win 2.5 units

(Combo) Pick of the Week- Georgia State +56: 12.0 units to win 10.0 units AND Georgia State-Alabama Over 59: 12.0 units to win 10.0 units

As long as Bama doesn’t win 56-, 57-, 58-, or 59-0, I will cover one side of the bet. I know Vegas is good, but can they really predict the final score of a 60-minute game between two teams that have no business being on the same field to within four points? [Note: I reserve the right to re-read this Saturday night while punching myself for ever questioning Vegas.]

If Georgia State – a team averaging 17 points per game, albeit against far lesser competition – can just successfully kick a field goal, I cover at least one side of the wager.

If they can somehow score multiple times and only lose by 50, I can win both sides. How about 63-10 for the win (x2)?

Overall Record: 19-9 (+41.2 units)

Upset: 2-2

PoW: 3-1

PoY: 1-0

NFL Picks: Week 5

A 3-0 week has me inching towards .500 on the year. Gotta keep it up.

Bills +4: 2.6 units to win 2.5 units

Bengals -1: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units

Lions +7: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units

Saints Pk: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units

Panthers -1.5: 2.8 units to win 2.5 units

Overall Record: 8-11 (-4.3 units)

Pending Futures

Lions to win the NFC North: 5.5 units to win 27.5 units

Cardinals over 5.5 wins: 3.1 units to win 2.5 units

Broncos under 11.5 wins: 2.9 units to win 2.5 units

Patriots over 11 wins: 2.5 units to win 3.6 units

Eagles over 7.5 wins: 2.6 units to win 2.5 units

Redskins over 8.5 wins: 2.5 units to win 3.0 units

Trent Richardson +3.5 Rush TDs over Arian Foster: 2.9 units to win 2.5 units

EJ Manuel to win Offensive RoY: 5.0 units to win 87.5 units