Thursday, September 2, 2010

College Football Preview

Conference Predictions
ACC: Georgia Tech has two tough road games (UNC, Va Tech), but I think Paul Johnson's crew and the triple option win this conference behind Josh Nesbitt.
Big 12: Nebraska got hosed in last year's Big 12 title game when Colt McCoy threw a ball away that should have run out the clock. [Things have gone downhill for McCoy ever since. Karma?] Time for the Huskers to make amends.
Big East: The conference is open for the taking, and I think UConn has all the pieces in place to make a surprise run to the title and ultimately a BCS game. Plus, they get Pitt and Cincy at home.
Big Ten: Ohio State finds themselves atop the preseason polls, but I think Wisconsin can and will win the conference. They have a favorable schedule (OSU at home) and underrated (and under high-fived) QB Scott Tolzien. Plus, I don't think Terrelle Pryor is the next Vince Young.
Pac-10: My surprise team of the year, Arizona, has a plethora of offensive weapons at their disposal. Can the defense hold up? I'm guessing yes.
SEC: Alabama: The defending national champs are kings until someone can dethrone them. I think this will be a down year for the conference.
BCS National Title Game
Boise State over Alabama: A dream scenario for the BCS vs everyone else debate. Time to put up or shut up and all non-BCS schools should be rooting for the Broncos. 
Why I Love Boise
The Schedule (after Va Tech) - They look like double-digit favorites against everyone else.
Kellen Moore - A perfect college quarterback. He's cerebral, accurate, and experienced.
Why I'm Skeptical
Va Tech: This prediction could come crashing down opening week when the Broncos travel to Washington DC to take on the Hokies of Virginia Tech
No first round offensive playmaker: Since 2003, only one team (2007, LSU) no team has won a national title without having an offensive superstar that would eventually become a first round pick.
2004: Matt Leinart, Reggie Bush, Mike Williams
2005: Vince Young
2006: Tim Tebow, Percy Harvin
2007: None
2008: Tim Tebow, Percy Harvin
2009: Julio Jones, Mark Ingram, Trent Richardson (potentially)
Other Bets I'm Making
Wisconsin 40/1 to win BCS Title
Arizona 75/1 to win BCS Title
UConn 150/1 to win BCS Title
Kellen Moore 15/1 to win Heisman
Josh Nesbitt 50/1 to win Heisman
Teams That Are...
Overrated: Ohio State (2), Florida (4), Iowa (9), Virginia Tech (10)
Unerrated: Boise State (3), Wisconsin (12), Georgia Tech (16), UConn (31)  
Rankings based on preseason AP Top 25.

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